El Niño Strengthens, Likely to Become Very Strong by Late 2026
• The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has reported that El Niño conditions are strengthening, with a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter of 2026-
• Sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern equatorial Pacific have exceeded +2.0°C, with subsurface temperature anomalies reaching +10.0°C. These conditions are expected to influence global weather patterns, including enhanced rainfall in some regions and drought in others. The CPC's official outlook suggests that this El Niño event could surpass the strength of previous events recorded since 1950.
Impact & Risks
A very strong El Niño event could have widespread impacts, including altered monsoon patterns in India, increased rainfall in parts of South America, and drought conditions in Southeast Asia and Australia. In India, the monsoon season may experience reduced rainfall, potentially affecting agriculture and water resources. Global food security and energy markets could also be impacted by these climatic shifts.
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